note that the reason cassualties seem to be decreasing is that there’s a delay between the actual deaths and Mediazona confirming them
**even now, half of deaths they confirmed this month occurred before 2025**
also, a lot of deaths were revealed by the Manticore data leak which cutts off around February 2025
>We requested that *Manticore* export all death certificates that explicitly listed Ukraine, or the Russian border regions of Kursk, Bryansk, and Belgorod, as the place of death. Cross-referencing this official registry leak with our existing backlog provided the definitive proof we needed. S**imply by matching names to the** ***ZAGS*** **records, we were able to independently verify 23,000 new fatalities**.
>The leak, however, is not a complete picture. **The database cuts off in early 2025, meaning casualties from the latter half of the year remain unaccounted for**. Furthermore, roughly half of all death certificates omit the specific place of death entirely. Even with this new data, our figure of 200,000 remains a conservative floor, not a ceiling.
After_Fee8244 on
Based, let’s double it.
cossackbedouin9960 on
Submission statement: kinda self-explaining in the title
Otherwise, its interesting to note that this is the individually **verified minimum** ,and higher end estimates are for 400,000 soldier deaths
not to mention wounded or MIA
Fun_Structure5951 on
14-15k died in the Soviet–Afghan War
bigwang123 on
I think mediazona’s methodology is based on eulogies in Russian local newspapers and whatnot, so this is a low bound
Zuliano1 on
And we are not taking in count that the war will keep killing people even after it ends, half of all wounded will likely have serious disabilities and hundreds of thousands could commit suicide.
To put in perspective US vets suffered well over 50k deaths by despair after the Vietnam war.
AfterbounceFC on
Lets say Russia does succeed and takes over all of Ukraine. What do they think is going to happen next? Do they really think that’s the end of it? They will be facing an insurgency that would make Iraq and Afghanistan look like a trip to Euro Disney.
7 Comments
note that the reason cassualties seem to be decreasing is that there’s a delay between the actual deaths and Mediazona confirming them
**even now, half of deaths they confirmed this month occurred before 2025**
also, a lot of deaths were revealed by the Manticore data leak which cutts off around February 2025
>We requested that *Manticore* export all death certificates that explicitly listed Ukraine, or the Russian border regions of Kursk, Bryansk, and Belgorod, as the place of death. Cross-referencing this official registry leak with our existing backlog provided the definitive proof we needed. S**imply by matching names to the** ***ZAGS*** **records, we were able to independently verify 23,000 new fatalities**.
>The leak, however, is not a complete picture. **The database cuts off in early 2025, meaning casualties from the latter half of the year remain unaccounted for**. Furthermore, roughly half of all death certificates omit the specific place of death entirely. Even with this new data, our figure of 200,000 remains a conservative floor, not a ceiling.
Based, let’s double it.
Submission statement: kinda self-explaining in the title
Otherwise, its interesting to note that this is the individually **verified minimum** ,and higher end estimates are for 400,000 soldier deaths
not to mention wounded or MIA
14-15k died in the Soviet–Afghan War
I think mediazona’s methodology is based on eulogies in Russian local newspapers and whatnot, so this is a low bound
And we are not taking in count that the war will keep killing people even after it ends, half of all wounded will likely have serious disabilities and hundreds of thousands could commit suicide.
To put in perspective US vets suffered well over 50k deaths by despair after the Vietnam war.
Lets say Russia does succeed and takes over all of Ukraine. What do they think is going to happen next? Do they really think that’s the end of it? They will be facing an insurgency that would make Iraq and Afghanistan look like a trip to Euro Disney.