I’ve finally finished tallying the results! To speed things up, I used Gemini to calculate the seat compositions. Here is an approximation of how r/neoliberal would have voted in the 2024 European Parliamentary elections.

The first picture shows the parliamentary composition while the second shows the largest group in each member state.

For each detailed country here are the results:

Here is the breakdown of the seat allocation for each country based on your specific voting data and the fallback to real-life results.

Austria

• 100% of the vote were cast for NEOS; with no other votes cast, all 20 seats were allocated to Renew Europe.

Belgium

• On the Flemish list, 100% of votes were cast for OpenVLD, securing 13 seats for Renew Europe.
• On the Francophone list, 100% of votes were cast for Les Engagés, securing 8 seats for the EPP.
• Since nobody voted for the German-speaking seat, the result is as in the real election: 1 seat for CSP (EPP). (My mistake. I forgot to include this one…)

Bulgaria

• 100% of the vote was cast for PP–DB, securing 17 seats. This is split between Renew Europe (PP) and the EPP (DB).

Cyprus

• 100% of the vote was cast for the r/neoliberal mod team, securing 6 seats for Renew Europe. (Who I would presume they join, but unless the mod team thinks differently please contact me so the map and seat composition can be corrected)

Czech Republic

• 75% of the vote was cast for the Pirates, securing 16 seats for Greens/EFA.
• 25% of the vote was cast for STAN, securing 5 seats for the EPP.

Denmark

• 80% of the vote was cast for the Danish Social Liberal Party, securing 12 seats for Renew Europe.
• 20% of the vote was cast for Venstre, securing 3 seats for Renew Europe.

Estonia

• 75% of the vote was cast for the Reform Party, securing 5 seats for Renew Europe.
• 25% of the vote was cast for Isamaa, securing 2 seats for the EPP.

Finland

• 75% of the vote was cast for the Green League, securing 11 seats for Greens/EFA.
• 25% of the vote was cast for the National Coalition Party, securing 4 seats for the EPP.

France

• 77.8% of the vote was cast for Renaissance, securing 63 seats for Renew Europe.
• 11.1% of the vote was cast for the Socialist Party, securing 9 seats for S&D.
• 11.1% of the vote was cast for the French Communist Party, securing 9 seats for The Left.

Germany

• 40% of the vote was cast for The Greens, securing 38 seats for Greens/EFA.
• 35% of the vote was cast for the FDP, securing 34 seats for Renew Europe.
• 20% of the vote was cast for Volt Germany, securing 19 seats for Greens/EFA.
• 5% of the vote was cast for CDU/CSU, securing 5 seats for the EPP.

Greece

• 100% of the vote was cast for New Democracy, securing 21 seats for the EPP.

Hungary

• 100% of the vote was cast for Momentum Movement, securing 21 seats for Renew Europe.

Ireland

• 50% of the vote was cast for Fine Gael, securing 7 seats for the EPP.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for Sinn Féin, securing 3 seats for The Left.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for Fianna Fáil, securing 2 seats for Renew Europe.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for the Green Party, securing 2 seats for Greens/EFA.

Italy

• 100% of the vote was cast for United States of Europe, securing 76 seats for Renew Europe.

Lithuania

• 33.3% of the vote was cast for the Freedom Party, securing 4 seats for Renew Europe.
• 33.3% of the vote was cast for the Liberal Movement, securing 4 seats for Renew Europe.
• 33.3% of the vote was cast for Homeland Union, securing 3 seats for the EPP.

Luxembourg

• 100% of the vote was cast for the Democratic Party, securing 6 seats for Renew Europe.

Netherlands

• 50% of the vote was cast for D66, securing 16 seats for Renew Europe.
• 20% of the vote was cast for Volt, securing 6 seats for Greens/EFA.
• 20% of the vote was cast for VVD, securing 6 seats for Renew Europe.
• 10% of the vote was cast for GroenLinks–PvdA, securing 3 seats split between Greens/EFA and S&D.

Poland

• 50% of the vote was cast for Civic Coalition, securing 27 seats for the EPP.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for Third Way, securing 9 seats split between Renew Europe and the EPP.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for Lewica, securing 9 seats for S&D.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for Razem, securing 8 seats for The Left.

Portugal

• 100% of the vote was cast for the Democratic Alliance, securing 21 seats for the EPP.

Spain

• 50% of the vote was cast for PSOE, securing 31 seats for S&D.
• 25% of the vote was cast for Citizens, securing 15 seats for Renew Europe.
• 25% of the vote was cast for the PP, securing 15 seats for the EPP.

Sweden

• 50% of the vote was cast for the Centre Party, securing 11 seats for Renew Europe.
• 33.3% of the vote was cast for the Social Democrats, securing 7 seats for S&D.
• 16.7% of the vote was cast for the Liberals, securing 3 seats for Renew Europe.

Note: For countries with no votes, seat allocation defaults to the actual 2024 election results.

Due to them not reaching the 27 seat and the 7 member state threshold, the following groups are unable to form:

• Patriots for Europe
• European Reformists and Conservatives
• Europe of Sovereign Nations

What will happen next?

Since Renew Europe gained 354 seats according to this scenario, which is just below the 361 seats required for a majority, they will need to form a coalition, which will either be with the European People's Party, the Socialists or the Greens. In my opinion this would most likely be with the EPP, since they are closely aligned with Renew on many issues, thereby creating a "Grand Neoliberal Coalition"

The poll was filled out by 94 users, 91 of whom were confirmed to be r/neoliberal users, while 86 were confirmed to be male. 3 female users, 2 non-binary and 3 people who chose to not to reveal their gender filled out the poll alongside them.

That concludes the r/neoliberal European Parliamentary election.

Thank you to everyone, who took their time to fill out the poll, and make these results possible.