I have a feeling the people of Iran are doing that for us as we speak…
specter491 on
Highly doubtful
etherealsmog on
This kind of thing is why I didn’t really celebrate the Venezuela situation, didn’t really think we should have involved ourselves, and hope that we try to wash our hands of it quickly.
The urge to start nation building is such a gambler’s fallacy—“I’ve rolled a couple sixes so I’m going to keep rolling because I’m doing so well.”
I keep seeing sort of illusory (maybe even delusional) news stories that Venezuela is going to lead to some kind of domino effect where we’re going to be able to get regime change in Cuba, and Iran, and we’re going to hem in Russia and China, and suddenly we’re going to have all these friendly-to-America leaders in former dictator-states, and people need to pipe down and stop dreaming.
I do think that the Trump administration has done a good job of setting up success on a lot of fronts to rein in some global bad guys, and deserve a lot of credit.
But I have absolutely zero interest in continuing down the rabbit hole of foreign interventions just because we think “we’re on a roll and can’t lose.”
MT_2A7X1_DAVIS on
I think we should monitor the protests to make sure the Iranian government aren’t killing them like they did before, but Iran needs to start it’s own second revolution. If the West interferes in it too quickly it will turn off Iranian public sentiment possibly as quickly as the Arab Spring when their government also killed dissenters.
It has to be birthed by the public in a region that is unhappy with American/Western intervention. The Iranian people can actually organically rise up against their hostile foreign government unlike Venezuela where their government did actively everything they could to prevent any uprisings including rigging every election after Chavez’s first.
4 Comments
I have a feeling the people of Iran are doing that for us as we speak…
Highly doubtful
This kind of thing is why I didn’t really celebrate the Venezuela situation, didn’t really think we should have involved ourselves, and hope that we try to wash our hands of it quickly.
The urge to start nation building is such a gambler’s fallacy—“I’ve rolled a couple sixes so I’m going to keep rolling because I’m doing so well.”
I keep seeing sort of illusory (maybe even delusional) news stories that Venezuela is going to lead to some kind of domino effect where we’re going to be able to get regime change in Cuba, and Iran, and we’re going to hem in Russia and China, and suddenly we’re going to have all these friendly-to-America leaders in former dictator-states, and people need to pipe down and stop dreaming.
I do think that the Trump administration has done a good job of setting up success on a lot of fronts to rein in some global bad guys, and deserve a lot of credit.
But I have absolutely zero interest in continuing down the rabbit hole of foreign interventions just because we think “we’re on a roll and can’t lose.”
I think we should monitor the protests to make sure the Iranian government aren’t killing them like they did before, but Iran needs to start it’s own second revolution. If the West interferes in it too quickly it will turn off Iranian public sentiment possibly as quickly as the Arab Spring when their government also killed dissenters.
It has to be birthed by the public in a region that is unhappy with American/Western intervention. The Iranian people can actually organically rise up against their hostile foreign government unlike Venezuela where their government did actively everything they could to prevent any uprisings including rigging every election after Chavez’s first.