We’ve put ourselves in an awkward situation. Given how cheap and easy to hide drones are on the modern battlefield, it will be incredibly difficult to prevent Iran from effectively shutting down the strait without a massive (and very expensive) naval investment in the region. Ships will need to be protected before they enter the strait, through the strait, and some ways past the strait. On the other hand, if we pull out completely now then the only thing we’ll have done long term is install a much more hardline regime with the perfect excuse to crack down hard on its people and which is motivated to strengthen its ability to disrupt the region further. Putting boots on the ground could shift the arithmetic, but it has very little support. There’s not really a clear path forward aside from continuing bombing and hope to become the exception to the rule that no regime has ever been overthrown by airpower alone
Blue_Cheese_Olives on
Mission creep… weird situation with straight of hormuz
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We’ve put ourselves in an awkward situation. Given how cheap and easy to hide drones are on the modern battlefield, it will be incredibly difficult to prevent Iran from effectively shutting down the strait without a massive (and very expensive) naval investment in the region. Ships will need to be protected before they enter the strait, through the strait, and some ways past the strait. On the other hand, if we pull out completely now then the only thing we’ll have done long term is install a much more hardline regime with the perfect excuse to crack down hard on its people and which is motivated to strengthen its ability to disrupt the region further. Putting boots on the ground could shift the arithmetic, but it has very little support. There’s not really a clear path forward aside from continuing bombing and hope to become the exception to the rule that no regime has ever been overthrown by airpower alone
Mission creep… weird situation with straight of hormuz