This is a highly relevant deep-dive into the macroeconomic and institutional threats posed by a potential Rassemblement National government in France.
The piece outlines the RN's shift from advocating for a hard exit from the EU to a strategy of institutional sabotage from within. It highlights the impending friction between RN's protectionist/sovereigntist economic policies and the Eurozone's fiscal framework. If France—a core pillar of the EU—pivots to an obstructionist stance akin to Orbán's Hungary but with the weight of the EU's second-largest economy, the capacity for Brussels to function or enforce consensus drops dramatically.
Curious to hear people's thoughts on the resilience of the Eurozone if the Paris-Berlin engine completely stalls out over the next few years.
Posted by Aulipe
2 Comments
It’s really up in the air whether the RN would act like a Meloni or an Orban if they got put into office. I’d personally bet on the former with Bardella taking charge instead of Le Pen.
But the honest answer is that I don’t think even they know just yet, we’ll just have to see how the electorate responds and what decisions the RN leadership makes.
Can anyone familiar with the EU’S laws and institutions give a rundown of how effective recent efforts by Macron and others have been in insulating the EU from the election of RN? Like appointing ministers to important positions early so the RN cannot appoint them?