The partisan baseline in the current political environment — the first place to go when benchmarking electoral prognostications.
The even balance in Texas is quite promising for Talarico, and normally solid red Iowa and Alaska are in winnable territory with strong nominees. Maine’s heavily blue skew might also be enough to unseat Collins, even with a deeply flawed nominee in Platner. !ping FIVEY
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*2024 battlegrounds + key states*
• Alaska, Iowa: R+5
• Texas: R+1
• Ohio: D+1
• Georgia, North Carolina, Wisconsin: D+6
• Arizona, Nevada: D+8
• Michigan: D+9
• Minnesota, Pennsylvania: D+10
• Maine: D+16
The partisan baseline in the current political environment — the first place to go when benchmarking electoral prognostications.
The even balance in Texas is quite promising for Talarico, and normally solid red Iowa and Alaska are in winnable territory with strong nominees. Maine’s heavily blue skew might also be enough to unseat Collins, even with a deeply flawed nominee in Platner. !ping FIVEY