Reminder that for past 40 years bellweather counties predicted who would be president with amazing accuracy, EXCEPT for last election
Posted by LatestHat7
Reminder that for past 40 years bellweather counties predicted who would be president with amazing accuracy, EXCEPT for last election
Posted by LatestHat7
3 Comments
previously avaraged 17 counties, lowest being 15
last election it was 1. trump cleaned up every but 1 and somehow lost
Thank you for not saying bellweather counties predicted who would be ELECTED president, except for the last election. Selection is not election.
In 2016, [14 counties](https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_election_bellwether_counties_in_the_United_States#Deviations_in_one_election) broke their 40+ year bellwether streaks.
In 2020, 16 counties lost 40+ year bellweather streaks.
Maybe, just maybe, elections have changed, and the idea of a bellweather county is no longer applicable.