
August 15
– my forecast model v0.9 (full version will include the third parties' vote share by state
-Historical Partisanship changes
-Trends
-B or above rated national and state polls
-State and National results' historical balance
-Probabilities is determined by running 10.000 simulations.
Posted by ctolgasahin67
2 Comments
We aren’t going to win michigan. Arab american’s are now republicans because biden and harris’s stance on israel/palestine.
Cool post! Do you have a confidence interval on your electoral college vote estimates? 80% or something would be interesting.