The Arab world thinks differently about this Iran war. A new spectator sport with scary consequences

Posted by Sine_Fine_Belli

3 Comments

  1. LegitimateCompote377 on

    Very few countries want Iran to actually fall:

    1) Turkey views Israel as a major threat to its own interests, with it building military installations in Southern Syria and a potential expansion in Lebanon. It also doesn’t help the primary country it wants to deport 1 million Gazans into (Haftars Libya) is one of Turkeys prime enemies, and Israel will restart Libyas civil war along with supplying weapons to Russia, UAE and RSF, all Turkish enemies in the region. Turkey has arguably invested more into Libya than any other country. Turkey will likely become Israel’s biggest enemy if Israel can achieve regime change in Iran.

    2) Saudi Arabia have been fighting Iran for a long time however since 2019 relations have gotten better and they are no longer interested in Yemen after the Emiratis betrayed them. They have built up some good relations and Saudi Arabia much like with Assad would be extremely disappointed to have spent this time just for it to have been for nothing.

    3) The UAE while in the surface looking like it would hate Iran supplies Iran with ~20% of its imports. It does not want increased competition and has also ignoring Yemen, which I am even skeptical of this long awaited offensive against the Houthis even exists, built relatively good relations.

    Nobody in the Middle East is particularly fond of Israel or what its goal is in Iran.

  2. Sound_Saracen on

    Jordan, a country where a plurality of the population is either partially or fully of Palestinian blood, are cheering on the attacks against Iran due to the countrys’ Shia background.

    I do wonder though, if Iran has been pacified, then Israel would probably become the biggest liability in the region. The reason why the Abraham accords got so much steam to begin with, is due to the credible threat which the axis of resistance posed in the region, it’s why countries were a lot more “complacent” in their conduct when it comes to foreign (Lebanon) or domestic (the West Bank and Gaza) affairs.

    But with Hezbollah severely weakened, Hamas being all but destroyed, and Iran being on the backfood, I wonder how the next decade would look like for Israel regarding foreign policy.

    At this pace, I don’t think the new order in the middle East will be as favourable to Israel unless it moderates.

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