* Crime rates typically fluctuate – making it hard to gauge success of crackdown, experts say
* Washington was experiencing declining crime rates before the federal intervention
* Arrests rose by about 2% during the surge – excluding immigration enforcement
>A Reuters review of public safety records and interviews with four experts on crime suggest that it is premature to draw sweeping conclusions about the impact of Trump’s deployments. While some types of crime – especially gun offenses – have become less frequent since Trump ordered troops into the city, overall violent crime hasn’t changed that much.
>“To make a claim based on a very short-term intervention under highly unusual circumstances doesn’t make any sense,” Columbia Law School professor Jeffrey Fagan said.
>A spokesman for Washington’s Democratic Mayor Muriel Bowser declined to comment. Bowser has credited the extra federal agents with helping to reduce crime but has said immigration raids and troop deployments did not.
>[…]
>The Trump administration claims the crackdown worked because people reported fewer crimes during the surge than during the same period in 2024. Jackson, the White House spokeswoman, said that over 30 days, total crime dropped 17 percent, homicide dropped 50 percent, assaults with dangerous weapons dropped 16 percent and robberies dropped 22 percent from the same period last year.
>But crime levels in Washington – and many other cities – were falling before Trump ordered troops to D.C., according to reports from the city’s police force and the FBI.
>“You really need months and months of this data to be able to draw a conclusion,” said crime analyst Jeff Asher of AH Datalytics. “If crime was already falling, you did the intervention and it kept falling, what does that show?”
>Violent crime in Washington peaked in 2023, when the number of murders reached its highest point in more than two decades. Bowser responded with a new policing strategy which used data to target high-crime areas with extra patrols. The number of reported incidents has been dropping since then, according to police records.
>The number of murders has also fallen in other cities. Asher said reports from more than 500 police departments show homicides down about 20 percent through July compared to the first seven months of 2024.
!ping Broken-windows
Anxious__Rugby__Bear on
More sanewashing. Crime was already down in Washington!
spartanmax2 on
Any short term effect is pretty much meaningless seeing how it’s not a permanent deployment
21spines on
“Did Hitler’s Jew crackdown in Germany reduce the amount of Jewish owned businesses? It’s complicated.”
The media will fucking do anything to glaze Trump holy shit
GilRocca on
Trump carpet bombs array of coastal blue cities into oblivion >>>>> Has Trump reduced crime?>>>>>It’s complicated
alienatedframe2 on
I would fully believe that it dropped but nobody can act like it’s a replicable or reasonable strategy to flood every street corner in the country with feds and soldiers indefinitely.
6 Comments
* Crime rates typically fluctuate – making it hard to gauge success of crackdown, experts say
* Washington was experiencing declining crime rates before the federal intervention
* Arrests rose by about 2% during the surge – excluding immigration enforcement
>A Reuters review of public safety records and interviews with four experts on crime suggest that it is premature to draw sweeping conclusions about the impact of Trump’s deployments. While some types of crime – especially gun offenses – have become less frequent since Trump ordered troops into the city, overall violent crime hasn’t changed that much.
>“To make a claim based on a very short-term intervention under highly unusual circumstances doesn’t make any sense,” Columbia Law School professor Jeffrey Fagan said.
>A spokesman for Washington’s Democratic Mayor Muriel Bowser declined to comment. Bowser has credited the extra federal agents with helping to reduce crime but has said immigration raids and troop deployments did not.
>[…]
>The Trump administration claims the crackdown worked because people reported fewer crimes during the surge than during the same period in 2024. Jackson, the White House spokeswoman, said that over 30 days, total crime dropped 17 percent, homicide dropped 50 percent, assaults with dangerous weapons dropped 16 percent and robberies dropped 22 percent from the same period last year.
>But crime levels in Washington – and many other cities – were falling before Trump ordered troops to D.C., according to reports from the city’s police force and the FBI.
>“You really need months and months of this data to be able to draw a conclusion,” said crime analyst Jeff Asher of AH Datalytics. “If crime was already falling, you did the intervention and it kept falling, what does that show?”
>Violent crime in Washington peaked in 2023, when the number of murders reached its highest point in more than two decades. Bowser responded with a new policing strategy which used data to target high-crime areas with extra patrols. The number of reported incidents has been dropping since then, according to police records.
>The number of murders has also fallen in other cities. Asher said reports from more than 500 police departments show homicides down about 20 percent through July compared to the first seven months of 2024.
!ping Broken-windows
More sanewashing. Crime was already down in Washington!
Any short term effect is pretty much meaningless seeing how it’s not a permanent deployment
“Did Hitler’s Jew crackdown in Germany reduce the amount of Jewish owned businesses? It’s complicated.”
The media will fucking do anything to glaze Trump holy shit
Trump carpet bombs array of coastal blue cities into oblivion >>>>> Has Trump reduced crime?>>>>>It’s complicated
I would fully believe that it dropped but nobody can act like it’s a replicable or reasonable strategy to flood every street corner in the country with feds and soldiers indefinitely.