Not my work, credits goes to @/ianellisjone on Twitter
It seems movements towards Iran are increasing. I am not really an experts on this topics, but I think is intresting to share it
!Ping Foreign-Policy
DayneStark on
Are we going to kidnap another world leader and bring him back here as an illegal immigrant and feed, clothe and shelter him? What is the plan here?
logikal_panda on
I can’t wait for r/neoliberal to convince me that this time there will be good regime change!
ginger2020 on
I fear that the dunces at DOD are overconfident following the tactically successful Venezuela op. Caracas is near the ocean, meaning it’s a quick in and out, as opposed to the longer inland flight to Tehran. In addition, Iran has far better anti air defenses than Venezuela, though of course, not impenetrable given that the actual Iranian Air Force is comprised of antiquated aircraft in poor shape. Furthermore, Iran has a cadre of well trained, fanatical IRGC soldiers who are likely defending Khameni and any other high priority figures.
snappyhome on
My bet is that the folks making these decisions are trying to engage in brinksmanship and force Iran to make concessions in the the nuclear talks – I don’t think they intend to launch an actual war. I think the same is true for the saber rattling coming from Tehran and their Hormuz maneuvers. However, brinksmanship is hard to do well: Just a little bit of miscalculation on either side could lead to a war even if neither side actually wants one. And I really don’t trust the people in charge of either country with such a tricky bit of statecraft.
fantasmadecallao on
indopacom on suicide watch, centcom dialing up the next 6 years of munitions production
6 Comments
Not my work, credits goes to @/ianellisjone on Twitter
It seems movements towards Iran are increasing. I am not really an experts on this topics, but I think is intresting to share it
!Ping Foreign-Policy
Are we going to kidnap another world leader and bring him back here as an illegal immigrant and feed, clothe and shelter him? What is the plan here?
I can’t wait for r/neoliberal to convince me that this time there will be good regime change!
I fear that the dunces at DOD are overconfident following the tactically successful Venezuela op. Caracas is near the ocean, meaning it’s a quick in and out, as opposed to the longer inland flight to Tehran. In addition, Iran has far better anti air defenses than Venezuela, though of course, not impenetrable given that the actual Iranian Air Force is comprised of antiquated aircraft in poor shape. Furthermore, Iran has a cadre of well trained, fanatical IRGC soldiers who are likely defending Khameni and any other high priority figures.
My bet is that the folks making these decisions are trying to engage in brinksmanship and force Iran to make concessions in the the nuclear talks – I don’t think they intend to launch an actual war. I think the same is true for the saber rattling coming from Tehran and their Hormuz maneuvers. However, brinksmanship is hard to do well: Just a little bit of miscalculation on either side could lead to a war even if neither side actually wants one. And I really don’t trust the people in charge of either country with such a tricky bit of statecraft.
indopacom on suicide watch, centcom dialing up the next 6 years of munitions production