In new ad, Pierre Poilievre pivots from relentless critic to peddler of hope. Why this may not work

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  1. IHateTrains123 on

    Archived version: [https://archive.fo/RxBUw](https://archive.fo/RxBUw)

    Summary:

    > Federal Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre is an effective showman, who has built a reputation as tough, aggressive and willing to challenge the status quo — qualities that appeal to voters who feel disillusioned or angry about current leadership. Presenting himself as a relentless critic has worked to get him elected as party leader and polls indicate it could work to make him prime minister.

    > However, constant negativity can fatigue the electorate, potentially diminishing the effectiveness of his criticism over time.

    > Perhaps more consequential, being tough alone isn’t enough to lead a country. Voters also want to feel hopeful about the future and need a sense of compassion and inclusiveness from their leaders. He and his advisers know this.

    > […]

    > There are early signs that he’s pivoting. His latest ad — a one-minute video called “Mountains” — continues to remind us that “debt, taxes, and crime are up,” that “jobs are down,” that “immigration is broken,” and that “woke obsessions dishonour our history, destroy our education, degrade our military, and divide our people.”

    > However, these references are now framed within a broader, optimistic vision and personal stories of his childhood and the mountains he’s climbed to make him more relatable.

    > It adopts an anthemic tone with a music track meant to make us feel that it will soon be morning again in Canada — the way Ronald Reagan made America feel to get elected. Despite the almost dystopian take on the nation’s state, “common sense will lead us home.”

    > […]

    > This attempt at transitioning from his usual problem-focused discourse toward a more optimistic and unifying message might prove difficult.

    > Poilievre faces a risk. If he leans too heavily into the language of hope and optimism without addressing concrete ways he plans to “bring it home,” he risks being seen as disingenuous.

    > His core supporters, who align with his more direct and confrontational style, may start feeling alienated if they perceive a shift toward a more generic “hopey changey” message.

    > Sarah Palin’s critique of Obama’s hallmark narrative during the National Tea Party Convention in 2010 underscores this key vulnerability: “How’s that hopey, changey stuff working out?” It resonated with those who see “hope and change” as mere platitudes rather than substantive policies that will improve their lives.

    > The lesson from Palin’s critique is clear: political promises of hope and change must be backed by tangible policies and actions that voters can believe in. Otherwise, the inspiring message that wins elections can quickly become a focal point for criticism and disillusionment.

    > All indications are that Poilievre will “bring it home” when Canadians next go to the polls. But once common sense has led us home, whatever this means, there will be a nation of anxious citizens expecting to be equipped to climb any mountain.

    Further readings:

    [https://www.hilltimes.com/story/2024/10/09/tories-want-to-be-everywhere-right-now-conservatives-go-big-with-full-suite-of-election-ready-social-media-ads/437121/](https://www.hilltimes.com/story/2024/10/09/tories-want-to-be-everywhere-right-now-conservatives-go-big-with-full-suite-of-election-ready-social-media-ads/437121/)

    [https://cpcassets.conservative.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/23175001/990863517f7a575.pdf](https://cpcassets.conservative.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/23175001/990863517f7a575.pdf) [Conservative “policy declaration”]

    [https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/tom-mulcair-pierre-poilievre-s-dramatic-side-could-become-his-undoing-1.7066217](https://www.ctvnews.ca/politics/tom-mulcair-pierre-poilievre-s-dramatic-side-could-become-his-undoing-1.7066217)

    [https://www.hilltimes.com/story/2024/10/09/is-the-liberal-light-brigade-following-their-leader-into-disaster/437117/](https://www.hilltimes.com/story/2024/10/09/is-the-liberal-light-brigade-following-their-leader-into-disaster/437117/)

    !ping Can

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