Law-Abiding Immigrants: The Incarceration Gap Between Immigrants and the US-born, 1870–2020

Posted by Rekksu

6 Comments

  1. VP candidate JD Vance has [stated](https://www.msnbc.com/top-stories/latest/jd-vance-gangs-of-new-york-deportation-crime-rcna167012) that prior immigration waves to the US were associated with crime waves. The authors of this paper look at the data and find that immigrants have had lower crime rates than the native born for at least 150 years.

    Abstract:

    > We provide the first nationally representative long-run series (1870–2020) of incarceration rates for immigrants and the US-born. As a group, immigrants have had lower incarceration rates than the US-born for 150 years. Moreover, relative to the US-born, immigrants’ incarceration rates have declined since 1960: immigrants today are 60% less likely to be incarcerated (30% relative to US-born whites). This relative decline occurred among immigrants from all regions and cannot be explained by changes in immigrants’ observable characteristics or immigration policy. Instead, the decline is part of a broader divergence of outcomes between less-educated immigrants and their US-born counterparts.

  2. Clealy we need to let more criminal immigrants in to get those numbers up

    Free green cards to all jaywalkers lets fucking goooooooo

  3. Sigh….*unzips.*

    Now that my briefcase full of pro immigration research is open, I will slot this paper right in there.

    E- be careful with this one…while it does show that immigrants are less likely to be incarcerated, it also shows that immigrants from Mexico and Central America are more likely to be incarcerated than other types of immigrants. There have even been points in the past where that line has crossed native born citizens. The point still stands, but it may inspire some “these immigrants really ARE worse than other types of immigrants!” type responses.

  4. Impressive-Fudge7706 on

    Seems like someone finally found the missing piece to the “who’s really behind the crime wave” puzzle, and surprise—it’s not the immigrants.

  5. Okbuddyliberals on

    We need to get *really* tough on crime, **relentlessly** tough on crime. If we really want to get serious about crime, we need to deport anyone born on US soil, and ONLY let people be American citizens if they were *not* born here and if they immigrate. Natural born citizens are just too dangerous to keep as a concept. If you want to be an American, that’s great but you need to be born somewhere else

Leave A Reply