Hello guys!

    This is my first post here, although very often I read this sub with much curiosity. If there's some rule I'm breaking, I hope you will forgive me, if there's something I have to change in this post let me know. I've been suggested by a user in the “High Strangeness” sub to post this here.

    I live in Palermo, Sicily, where usually nothing noteworthy in the realm of “high strangeness” or “conspiracies” happens. However, on Sunday, after weeks and weeks of intense heat, the temperatures suddenly dropped, and we had some rain. Nothing particularly strong or disastrous, but as you probably know by now, a 56 meters luxury sailboat, the Bayesian, sank due to bad weather during the night, because of a waterspout that formed around 4 A. M. in Porticello, a district of the Municipality of Santa Flavia, about 20 km from the capital of Sicily. Of the 22 people on board, 15 were rescued by a smaller boat, while 7 others were immediately reported missing. One of them has been officially declared dead, while 6 are still missing (though I don't think there's much hope for them).

    Given the geographical proximity with Porticello, the news caught my attention particularly. I even saw the rescue helicopters making several reconnaissance flights to try to recover the missing people. Among these missing are the "British Bill Gates" Mike Lynch, the chairman of Morgan Stanley International, Jonathan Bloomer and lawyer Chris Morvillo. Curiously, just a few hours before this waterspout struck the Bayesian (anchored just about 100 meters from the coast), Mike Lynch's co-defendant, Stephen Chamberlain, was killed by a car while jogging in Cambridgeshire.

    There are a couple of questions that come to mind, which I think could fall under "high strangeness":

    • First of all, how is it possible that a waterspout hit the Bayesian, a vessel over 50 meters long, effectively sending it to the bottom of the sea within minutes, without hitting a nearby boat that even managed to rescue 15 people?
    • Second: what were the chances (the theme of probability is fundamental, by the way, in Bayes' theorem—from which the Bayesian got its name) that within 24 hours both Lynch and Chamberlain, who were defendants in a trial (from which they had been acquitted) involving billions of euros, would be involved in unrelated accidents happening in two different parts of Europe (one of them has certainly led to death Chamberlain)?
    • Third: this isn’t the first time an “anomalous” waterspout has hit a vessel carrying high-profile individuals. The last time was last year on Lake Maggiore, where four people died. It was later revealed that two of the victims were part of the Italian intelligence services, while another worked for the Israeli Mossad. Almost all the passengers on that boat were employees or former employees of international espionage agencies.

    What do you think? Was it just a coincidence? As ridiculous or extremely fanciful as it may sound, do non-conventional weapons exist that could generate waterspouts targeted at a specific objective? Naturally, I lean toward a more "normal" or "mundane" explanation, so please don't consider me a paranoid conspiracy theorist, but rather a curious person who likes to explore even the most absurd hypotheses. After all, Bayes' theorem starts from a known effect to find the probability of a cause.

    Posted by tanktoys

    4 Comments

    1. No_Difficulty_3203 on

      – The probability of a waterspout hitting that yacht? Extremely low.
      – The probability of a waterspout sinking that yacht? Extremely low.
      – The probability of a waterspout not damaging any other yachts/boats except theirs? Extremely low.
      – The probability of being hit by a car and killed? Extremely low.

      – The probability of all of these rare and unfortunate events happening two days apart to two business partners, thousands of kilometres from each other? As close to impossible as you can get.. however! The likelihood dramatically increases when you’ve gotten away with fucking over one of the largest companies in the world.

      These men pissed off some powerful people, and were murdered.

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