GOP’s new fear: Losing the Senate in November

Posted by swimmingupclose

10 Comments

  1. At this rate it’s 50/50 in a year with a map where they should be mopping up regardless of incumbent

  2. swimmingupclose on

    I think it’s unlikely that the Democrats win the Senate but one can’t deny the incredible vibe shift just in the last 3-4 months. After the big wins in November, the win in Miami and now in Texas, democrats have to push hard to make the Senate as close as possible. This will give them the best chance of winning both chambers of Congress come 2028.

  3. ModestAphorism on

    Them getting Peltola in Alaska is a huge exchale. If it’s D+7 or D+8 like 2018, I genuinely think Peltola is favored against Sullivan. Just gotta worry about pushing someone else over the finish line (I think even Platner would be favored against collins handily, in a D+8 environment with no Trump). I think it’s far to say the odds of the Dems winning the senate are creeping up closer to 40/60, maybe we can even get to 50/50

  4. I don’t get why they don’t just try to moderate, even by 15%.

    They’re being maximally evil and that is obviously not working.

  5. omnipotentsandwich on

    There’s certainly a path for Democrats. Sherrod Brown is only behind by 2 points, Peltola and Cooper are actually leading their opponents, Collins looks like she’s finally done for, and even Osborn is looking pretty good. 

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